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Letter "E" » Ethan Harris Quotes
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«Imagine you're a bank. The corporate sector isn't interested in borrowing, so you can't lend to it. So where do you go? Well, mortgages. They pay a reasonable rate. They're seen as a safe investment. Load up on mortgage-backed securities.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«We're not going to be in a recession if the economy reverses quickly. But if the war keeps going on, recession is a major risk.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«The best tack is to move by a quarter point, with the promise that there will be more cuts to come if the economy remains weak. You can't maintain that promise with big bulky rate cuts.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«There's definitely going to be nervousness around the event and a kind of inertia. My wife has already asked me not to come into work that day.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«Rising rates could have a tremendous impact on slowing consumer spending. Consumer spending has been about 6 percent, when adjusted for inflation. Rising rates could bring it down to 2 or 3 percent.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«We think inflation is going to remain benign going forward.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«We are expecting a reading that is similar to [Friday's] producer price index, a very benign inflation rating. Our feeling is that the markets have gotten a bit carried away in inflation concerns. They've heard Greenspan say that inflation [is showing up on the radar screen] and they're waiting for it to show up any day now. But the inflationary picture remains just as good as ever.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«should show signs of stabilizing.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«What's happened between now and then is that we've accomplished everything we've set out to achieve, ... Then they were trying to get the economy to the state it is in now, so the attitude now is, 'lets not screw anything up.'»
Author: Ethan Harris
«We are obviously experiencing slower growth and the payroll numbers don't really reflect that yet, which is why they will be an important indicator. Companies have been cutting back the number of hours their workers put in and in some cases cutting back their workforce altogether, and that is what people will be looking for in the numbers.»
Author: Ethan Harris
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