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Letter "I" » Ian Shepherdson Quotes
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«We doubt that this report unambiguously points to slower growth ahead --but it does mean no rate hike on (Aug.) 22.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«This number comes completely out of the blue -- there has been nothing in the anecdotal or survey evidence even hinting at such a massive rebound.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«This is a sign that the committee is beginning to think aloud about shifting to a more neutral position - but the forecast of significantly slower growth will have to come first. For now, the elevated headline inflation rate and the tight pool of available labor remain bigger concerns, so the Fed's guard is still up.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«If real spending rises at this pace in February and March, consumer spending will rise just 2.3 percent for the quarter, the softest since Q2 1997.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«Despite undershooting the consensus, these numbers do not look too bad to us. Confidence might well dip further -- job fears hit a 28-month high this month -- but the big plunge looks to be over.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«We expect a drop to 390,000 [next week], but an even lower number cannot be ruled out.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«This jump in inventories will marginally lift second quarter GDP growth expectations. We look for growth of between 2.5 percent and 3 percent, with inventories adding some 0.75 percent.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«The Fed's inaction suggests that [policy makers] expect a quick rebound -- we do too -- which is why the next round of survey data, starting with today's Philly Fed, is so important.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«The big question now is whether the ISM survey will follow the Philly down and dip below 50.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«These are pretty awful numbers and, as far as we know, there are no mitigating circumstances.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
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